Rocket Man

A little modern day interpretation from the Intrepid Inspector O http://www.38north.org/2017/09/jchurch092117/ Musical accompaniment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtVBCG6ThDk

For Forecasters

I’m spread across a number of forecasting sites. This will be the collection point for comments on that subject. Some are; Alphacast – survey Almanis – prediction market Hypermind – prediction market Each is going about it differently. Almanis and Hypermind have a monetary reward structure.           I can be reached…

Another Epic Thread

Source: https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/208838 ==================== Will conservatives retain their majority in the Majles after Iran’s upcoming parliamentary elections? Inactive-43 made a prediction: 100%       Yes This infuriatingly undefined question is one of the reasons I decided I don’t have time to struggle with this game. I like having a reputation as a superforecaster from GJP4, but…

Hypermind – game state 2/13/16

CRUEL WORLD 2016 > BRENT16Q1 What will be the closing price of a barrel of Brent Crude Oil on March 31, 2016? Outcomes  Last    Sell    Buy   State   Shares   Valuation    Profit     Orders < $20           2ℍ      2ℍ     4ℍ [$20, $40[…

The Super Duper Bowl Version L

For the record I’m a lifelong Packer fan. I’m old enough to have seen Bart Starr score the winning TD in the Ice Bowl (on TV). I would like to be a semi-interactive blog. Post comments and I will discuss. So what to make of this year’s action? Well, Denver has the best defense statistically. They…

The Presidential Election – Republican Cattle Call Edition

Introduction: Boehner fell on his sword and begat Paul Ryan. The net effect is that Congress passed enough bills to have a clean election and eliminate the Republican penchant for circular firing squads. So what are we to make of this slate of unappetizing candidates? The un-electables: Cruz, Fiorina, Carson Potential electables – Bush, Christie,…

Inspector O Strikes Again

38 North is one of my favorite blogs and Inspector O is my favorite character. This is the latest: http://38north.org/2015/12/jchurch123015/ How do I parse the current state of the Presidential election on the Republican side?  Stay tuned to this Bat channel.   Nota bene: I cleaned up my Star Warts post to something semi-professional.  

Star Wars IV 2.0

What to say what to do? Disney/Pixair getting this property was an ill omen, but then I had hope when Lawrence Kasdan was involved in the script. Alas, J.J. Abrams should be shot – no blindfold, no cigarette. I tried his Star Trek movie N number of times at random entry points and never ever…

The Internet – Anybody can be from Anywhere

Bounce through the right proxy sever and hey, you’re from wherever that IP address is registered. There are plenty of legitimate and illegitimate reasons to do so. How you do this depends on your personal taste for risk and the circumstances in your particular corner of the world. The average Joe uses things like this …

Dark Matter ?

Maybe we’re starting to get a handle on another 26.8% of the universe. http://www.economist.com/news/science-and-technology/21678126-powerful-gamma-rays-centre-milky-way-look-signs-elusive That should get the human race above 30%. There’s a Nobel prize out there for someone that can explain gravity. Are we to have the successor to Newton and Einstein in my lifetime? By any number of prediction methods it should…