I’m spread across a number of forecasting sites. This will be the collection point for comments on that subject. Some are; Alphacast – survey Almanis – prediction market Hypermind – prediction market Each is going about it differently. Almanis and Hypermind have a monetary reward structure. I can be reached… Continue reading For Forecasters
Source: https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/208838 ==================== Will conservatives retain their majority in the Majles after Iran’s upcoming parliamentary elections? Inactive-43 made a prediction: 100% Yes This infuriatingly undefined question is one of the reasons I decided I don’t have time to struggle with this game. I like having a reputation as a superforecaster from GJP4, but… Continue reading Another Epic Thread
CRUEL WORLD 2016 > BRENT16Q1 What will be the closing price of a barrel of Brent Crude Oil on March 31, 2016? Outcomes Last Sell Buy State Shares Valuation Profit Orders < $20 2ℍ 2ℍ 4ℍ [$20, $40[… Continue reading Hypermind – game state 2/13/16
For the record I’m a lifelong Packer fan. I’m old enough to have seen Bart Starr score the winning TD in the Ice Bowl (on TV). I would like to be a semi-interactive blog. Post comments and I will discuss. So what to make of this year’s action? Well, Denver has the best defense statistically. They… Continue reading The Super Duper Bowl Version L
Introduction: Boehner fell on his sword and begat Paul Ryan. The net effect is that Congress passed enough bills to have a clean election and eliminate the Republican penchant for circular firing squads. So what are we to make of this slate of unappetizing candidates? The un-electables: Cruz, Fiorina, Carson Potential electables – Bush, Christie,… Continue reading The Presidential Election – Republican Cattle Call Edition
38 North is one of my favorite blogs and Inspector O is my favorite character. This is the latest: http://38north.org/2015/12/jchurch123015/ How do I parse the current state of the Presidential election on the Republican side? Stay tuned to this Bat channel. Nota bene: I cleaned up my Star Warts post to something semi-professional.
What to say what to do? Disney/Pixair getting this property was an ill omen, but then I had hope when Lawrence Kasdan was involved in the script. Alas, J.J. Abrams should be shot – no blindfold, no cigarette. I tried his Star Trek movie N number of times at random entry points and never ever… Continue reading Star Wars IV 2.0